The thrifty pick is a good team to consider at this point in the season schedule. And our land mine identifies a team that might be a popular pick but could come up short when the defecation hits the oscillation in the NFL and thousands of survivors lose a supposed lock to an upset. Many of the recommended bets can be applied to those sportsbooks. Also, be aware that the point spread could be considerable with these teams favored to win by over a touchdown in some cases.
The Jaguars have actively been tanking over the past two weeks and now have the No. The Jags stunned the Colts, , in Week 1, but their defense is now by far the worst in the league with third-string cornerbacks starting across the board and a front seven coughing up The Colts are averaging 5. Week 17 Thrifty Survivor Pool Pick. With Dalton on the same page as his talented receivers, the Cowboys are averaging 6. The Giants are averaging a league-low 4. This may be a low scoring division battle, but the Cowboys are in better position to convert on their limited scoring opportunities.
Neither of these defenses can stop anyone and we saw that when they met in Week 5 and the Titans prevailed, , in OT. Jets vs Patriots: The Jets have won two straight and now absolutely have the No. Journalists believe head coach Adam Gase is going to be canned after the game is over. What a way to leave, winning three straight games Take the Jets. In a must-win game for both teams, the Giants defense looks a bit fatigued, while the offense continues to struggle.
Take the Cowboys. The Buccaneers look in sync and ready for playoff football. Take the Buccaneers. Packers vs Bears: The Packers have the best offense in football. And with a win, they will take the first overall slot in the NFC.
The Bears offense can dominate, too, behind Mitch Trubisky. Take the Packers. Raiders vs Broncos: The Raiders offense continues to showcase just how good they can be. After doing everything in their power to win on Thursday, the defense let them down once again.
The Broncos are a terrible offense that the Raiders should have some success with getting stops on defense. Take the Raiders. The Jaguars can win this game and potentially ruin it for the Colts, or they can ruin it for the fanbase. The Colts have this one easily. Take the Colts. Just due to backups. Take the Chargers. Cardinals vs Rams: Neither offense has been great this season, but the Rams defense has really done well in some spots this season.
Take the Rams. Seahawks vs 49ers: The 49ers can only run the football. Not a good passing team behind whichever quarterback they use. The Seahawks should get out to an early lead. Take the Seahawks.
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However, the good news from a survivor pool perspective is that many mediocre teams are now in play. Poor teams can become favorites over playoff-bound teams if those teams have their playoff seeding locked. Even if your survivor pool days did not last long this year, hopefully, our readers are gaining an edge betting-wise, with money to be had on the money lines of each game. Even though survivor pool rules say you cannot pick the same team twice, I will outline multiple scenarios in case bettors wish to navigate their own path, or have already used the teams I will suggest.
Thank you for reading this column all year, and I look forward to providing even better advice in Here is a list of odds for all the favorites to win their matchups in Week 17 odds courtesy of FanDuel.
They have all clinched playoff berths, yet can improve their seeding with wins. We will examine each scenario below. They would earn a first-round bye and the 2 seed with a win over the Dolphins. Bill Belichick will make sure his team is rolling into the playoffs with momentum and should be able to put away early a Dolphins team they beat earlier in the season.
New Orleans Saints The Saints have a number of different ways they could earn the top seed in the NFC playoffs, but it all starts with a win over the Panthers. Carolina quarterback Will Grier looked like a deer in headlights for most of his first NFL start last week. There is no way he is ready to beat the Saints when they have so much riding on this game. For as much praise as the 49ers and Saints have gotten all season, the Packers looked like a team that could win a Super Bowl on Monday night.
The Vikings offensive line had no answer for the pass rush of the Packers. Green Bay held Minnesota to just seven first downs all game. They will still need help from the Seahawks on Sunday night to earn the 1 seed in the NFC, but if they beat the Lions earlier in the day they are guaranteed at least a first-round bye.
Aaron Rodgers and company will not let that opportunity pass by. They could still earn a first-round bye with a win, but they would have to hope the Dolphins also beat the Patriots, which does not seem likely. However, head coach Andy Reid would like to have momentum going into the playoffs.
A win would guarantee Kansas City at least the three seed, where they would face either the Titans, Steelers, or Raiders in the playoffs. If they lose and drop to the fourth seed, they would host the Buffalo Bills. Dallas Cowboys How much motivation will the Cowboys have after a deflating loss to the Eagles? They need the Giants to beat the Eagles to have any hope of winning the division.
If Dallas is scoreboard watching and finds the Eagles are out to a comfortable lead, they may just fold and lose outright to the Redskins. If Murray plays, the Cardinals are every bit as capable of back-to-back divisional road upsets. Philadelphia Eagles The Eagles are a team that looks playoff-bound after their big win against Dallas.
However, three weeks ago they were pushed to the brink at home against this same Giants team, finally winning in overtime. New York Giants vs. The Giants are six-point favorites at home against a Cowboys team that is locked in as the No. Minnesota Vikings vs. The Vikings are 4. The Bears have won eight of their past nine games and still have a shot at getting a first-round bye. There are a couple of reasons why Minnesota is undervalued.
First, the Bears could ease off the throttle and rest their starters as the game goes on if they see that the Rams have a big lead on the 49ers in their game and thus little chance of overtaking the Rams in playoff seeding. Second, our power rankings have Minnesota and Chicago rated as virtually equal in strength, with Minnesota being stronger than their record might suggest. Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee.
Indianapolis is a 3. However, some feel divisional games are harder to predict, so they are hesitant to give as much credit to the presumed favorite. Also, both teams have identical records, so the public may not be fully accepting that the road team should be a solid favorite. Picking the Colts allows you to pick the likely winner of the game while also getting some extra value as a bonus.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. In the game with the smallest point spread of the week, the Buccaneers are one-point favorites at home against the Falcons. Some recency bias may be in play here, as the public is mostly going with an Atlanta team that has won two games in a row instead of a Tampa Bay team that has lost three straight games.
However, the Vegas line has Tampa Bay as a slight favorite, with implied win odds of 53 percent, which is substantially higher than their percent popularity in public pools. Tampa Bay is worth strong consideration in weekly pools, as picking them gives you an opportunity to gain ground on the majority of your pool without needing to take a big gamble on a longshot.
The Browns are now a big favorite Pittsburgh has already announced that Ben Roethlisberger will sit out this game, and the team is likely to rest several more starters. The Steelers have struggled down the stretch after an start and will probably opt to rest their veteran-heavy squad even if it means getting a No. Taking a heavy favorite when plenty are still going with the Pittsburgh name is a solid value play this week. Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City.
The problem is that Kansas City is expected to rest starters, as it has nothing to play for with the top seed locked up. That means you have a pretty unusual situation in pick 'em pools. You can get a team favored by more than a field goal that is barely being picked, as 80 percent of all picks in pick 'em pools nationwide are on the Chiefs so far.
We'll see if the public catches on as the week continues, but right now, the Chargers are a big value. Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas. If you are looking for an upset play, the Broncos present some bang for the buck in terms of risk vs. Denver is only a slight underdog 2. Denver has had an up-and-down season, but sending the Raiders out on a losing streak would be plenty of motivation for this group. A record is good and the Ravens are getting hot at the right time, rebounding from a three-game losing slide to win four straight.
Three of those victories were by at least two TDs. The Bengals have shown heart with consecutive victories. But clearly motivation is in the corner of the Ravens. And so is talent — Baltimore handled Cincy earlier this year, and that was when Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon were leading the Bengals offense. Expect the Ravens to clinch that playoff berth and the Bengals to put health over pulling a shocking upset on the priority scale.
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