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You are guaranteed a free bet regardless of the outcome of the game. Did you know you can make money on football — or any sport — without even using a bookmaker? By using Betfair Exchange , you can back for and against outcomes similarly to how you would on a regular bookmaker. This can be a complex process to get your head around, but we have a post that should really help you out: The Definitive Guide to Betfair Trading.

This is a bankroll management system, rather than strictly a football betting system, but it is something you should definitely consider:. Based on sound money management, the Kelly Criterion is a betting system that implements a calculated method to determine the stake of a bet on an outcome with higher-than-expected odds. For those who get headaches from formulas such as the above, the stake, put simply, is the difference between the probability of winning and losing as determined by you.

Just like any system the Kelly Criterion has its drawbacks, and these are quite pronounced in football betting. Firstly, using the example above, it often asks you to invest a significant amount of your bankroll on a bet. Here, we look at the betting systems that are not sensible or profitable long-term investments of time or money. The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their stake immediately following any losing even-money bet, thereby allowing the first win to recover all previous losses.

Anyone who has invested time and money in sports betting understands that no matter how sound your research and analysis has been, a series of losing bets by account of bad luck is entirely possible. The reality is a lot different. Stay clear of the of the Martingale Method when wagering on football — the only way it would ever work is if you had infinite amounts of money.

This is impossible of course. Among the three possible outcomes to football matches — win, loss or draw — one often gets overlooked, the draw. The Fibonacci Method is based on a mathematical sequence where each new number equals the total of the previous two. Correctly predict the winning team Among his greatest innovations was the discovery of neural networks as a powerful tool for sports betting. While the model was initially developed around NBA betting, it has since been applied to other sports — chief among them, the NFL.

From this model, we derive our picks for each game. And the best part is, our system is a living, breathing predictive model — it possesses machine learning capacities that allow to detect trends and potentials that we mere humans could only dream of finding.

For more information, check out this handy dandy video on how it works. Essentially there are six different ways to bet on the NFL. Bookmakers set a spread with a favorite and an underdog. Pretty straightforward stuff. Moneyline betting is an equally common form of sports betting as spread bets.

The difference is that with moneylines, bookmakers will set lines representing the favorite and the underdog. NFL totals betting is rather self-exploratory. A prop bet is a special kind of bet that has nothing to do with the outcome or final score of a game. Some of them are player-based — how many yards or touchdowns a specific player scores. Some of them are based in live betting, i. In order for the bettor to win the wager, all outcomes must unfold accordingly.

This might involve a handful of other bets such as a totals bet and a moneyline bet. According to a prominent Vegas oddsmaker, one of the most integral statistics for betting the NFL is… duh duh duh dahhh… pass yards per attempt. Teams that are successful and efficient in their passing game tend to carry the edge over their less successful opponents. Taking this little known or acknowledged stat into account in your handicapping will no doubt help you find success in your waging.

The team who averages more turnovers per game is likely to give up more scoring opportunities and thus the whole game. So it goes without saying that our model analyzes far more than just turnovers and passing yards per attempt. Nonetheless, betting in any case involves a level of intuition. Therefore, even if you subscribe to the Simulator, it would behoove you to do your own research.

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The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their stake immediately following any losing even-money bet, thereby allowing the first win to recover all previous losses. Anyone who has invested time and money in sports betting understands that no matter how sound your research and analysis has been, a series of losing bets by account of bad luck is entirely possible.

The reality is a lot different. Stay clear of the of the Martingale Method when wagering on football — the only way it would ever work is if you had infinite amounts of money. This is impossible of course. Among the three possible outcomes to football matches — win, loss or draw — one often gets overlooked, the draw. The Fibonacci Method is based on a mathematical sequence where each new number equals the total of the previous two. As with the Martingale Method, Fibonacci thinking relies on continually increasing your stake to cover your previous losses.

It can. But the mathematical principle behind the Fibonacci approach is a lot more measured than simply doubling your stake each time. With some statistical analysis as your back-up, this is certainly a method that would be worth testing the success of over time. Sign up for our free matched betting course via this link. Other than that, a betting system based on proven mathematical principles is a good starting point.

Look towards Betfair Trading or challenge bets. Your email address will not be published. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Notify me of followup comments via e-mail. And in my experience running the Smart Betting Club over the years, not being setup correctly to handle losing runs is one of the major reasons punters fail at betting. Put another way — exactly how much of a rollercoaster ride are you willing to experience when betting?

For example, some punters like to follow tipsters putting up bets at big prices to win. The downside to this kind of strategy comes when you consider the vast majority of such tips are going to lose sometimes very frustratingly! Yet when they do win, it all pays off!

Yet for many punters, especially those of you risk-averse, suffering a run of 20 losers on the bounce is a bit too much to bear. There is nothing wrong with you if you fall into this category — you simply need to choose a different type of tipster. Instead you should look for a higher-strike rate tipster — one who if not winning more than they lose, will still regularly enough to keeping your losing runs short and manageable.

Which is where SBC can help as we currently proof, review and report back on 5 different tipsters all of whom fit this criteria. Featured in the Best Tipster Guide , this specialist football tipster has really impressed us with their consistency and most of all profits. Since , their winning strategy has hit a Achieving a Any losing runs have been short and sharp, making it a perfect option for those of you looking for an easy-to-follow and stable expert.

Best of all if using our recommended Compound Staking approach as detailed in the Best Tipster Guide , you can drastically improve your profits by making your money work harder for you. SBC member since Hitting a strike-rate of All from bets — proving this is no fluke! Profitable and at a high strike-rate with more than 1 in every 2 bets winning. Another very favourable betting market for punters can be found when betting on US Sports such as NBA Basketball , where huge sums of money are traded at low margins.

One such NBA Tipster we have tracked for several years now has a tried and trusted strategy for maximising profits from these markets — again working to a high strike-rate. During the current NBA season, his strategy has hit a The 5 th and final tipster has a very unique betting strategy — focusing in on very short priced favourites predominantly on football.

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Although his average odds for consider following to make your betting journey that much easier. Back to Homepage or visit. Distance in Kilometers Between Teams. After all, the chances are better Performance at Home. Select the Matches that You. To access our great pages including tips, strategies and interviews, simply login or register below. Asian Handicap Betting Strategy. Doubles on Team Goals Scored. Best of all, this tipster wrong tipsters, staking the wrong above, all of them bar Capital as to our fairly runs can and will bite have grown your bank by Darren - Betting Gods. PARAGRAPHThe 5 th and final thrives when it comes to betting strategy - focusing in on very short priced favourites predominantly on football.

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