The Sack Race is not all about reporting on those managers under pressure, we also like to acknowledge those bosses who have their teams performing well, that is why we update the Manager of the Month awards for all four English divisions throughout the football season.
The award is is handed out at the start of every month to the managers deemed to have had the best run of results or produced the best turnaround in form from the previous month and is decided by a panel at The Premier League and The Football League. Obsessed by stats and facts as we are at The Sack Race, not only do we keep a record of all the managers picking up the awards month-on-month but we also provide historial stats for the past winners; click on the divisions below to see the historical winners of the Manager of the Month award for that league.
Premier League Manager of the Month. Championship Manager of the Month. League One Manager of the Month. League Two Manager of the Month. Sack Race Toggle navigation. Managers Teams Free Bets. Manager of the Month Award The Sack Race is not all about reporting on those managers under pressure, we also like to acknowledge those bosses who have their teams performing well, that is why we update the Manager of the Month awards for all four English divisions throughout the football season.
Last man down Keith Curle. New customers only. New customers using promo code C40 only. Casino bonus expires 72 hours from issue. Eligibility rules, free-bet rules, game, location, payment-method, currency restrictions, stake contributions and terms and conditions apply. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply.
Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Rewards valid for 7 days. Free bets must be placed at min odds of 1. Exchange free bet limited to certain markets. So I found out that every week, SkySports website published a prediction for that week fixtures by Paul Merson  , an ex-Arsenal-player-turned-pundit who had won several titles. Just listen to what Arsenal former manager, Wenger had to say about him:. These debates that I hear are a joke, a farce. People [Merson] who have managed zero games, they teach everybody how you should behave.
No matter what your opinion about him, the prediction of an ex-Arsenal player for the Arsenal-Man United match will surely be more dependable than an obscure model that runs on randomly spitting out numbers. Here, I compared the results between matches Merson predicted this season.
He achieved a The result startled me. And I did not even have to do much besides asking the beloved Poisson processes to chunk out numbers. This is when I started looking into sports betting. If you ever think that the terms and quoted APR on your credit cards are complicated, try venturing into those betting websites once. They are just plain crazy. Take the US Odds for example.
This is fine, but then they have negative odds , like an odds. I mean, they are still using Feet and Fahrenheit anyway. For the purpose of this project, we will use a nicer system: the European Odds. For example, Bet gives an odds of 2. But things are not always nice and simple. In reality, to maximize profit, bookmakers employ teams of data scientists to analyze decades of sports data and develop highly accurate models for predicting the outcome of sports events and giving odds to their advantage.
That extra 2. To get the real probabilities, we need to correct for the profit by dividing through by For a perfectly efficient bookmaker, these are the probabilities of each outcome. The expected profit is the same if I had betted for Man United:. And — you guessed it — if I bet on a draw, I expect to get back 97 cents. This understanding does not stop me from trying to exploit any potential inefficiencies in the market. At first, I devise the general bet strategies. Implementing the Kelly Criterion is quite simple in R:.
However, if we aggregate all the odds from many different betting houses, we should get a better reflection of how bookmakers view the probability of an event, Arsenal defeating Man United for example:. Obviously, there are inherent risks in this optimal Poisson model. Both Merson and the Poisson-process model and me!!!
All in the same weekend!!! Before you clone my Github repo and raise capital for your sports hedge fund, I should make it clear that there are no guarantees. If anything, this article is a toy example of what you could potentially do. But the bookmakers have made it extremely difficult for anyone to gain sustainable profits. If there are still a lot of people placing a bet at 4.
Chances are that by the time the code infers the most optimal odds, it has been changed. Furthermore, if you do start to make a regular profit, bookmakers can simply thank you for your business, pay out your winnings and cancel your account. This is what has happened to a research group from the University of Tokyo . A few months after we began to place bets with actual money bookmakers started to severely limit our accounts.
If you enjoy this article, you may also enjoy my other article about interesting statistical facts and rules of thumbs. For other deep dive analyses:. The entire code for this project can be found on my Github profile.
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After you have started your first bankroll at an online bookie, you will probably place frequent bets. Your initial deposit will be turned over and bet multiple times, as long as you do not lose all of it. This is how you can start out with a small deposit and gradually grow it into a large and profitable bankroll.
Your ROI is your total profit, usually expressed in terms of percentages when you take your initial deposits into account. One reason percentages can be very usefull is that they help you evaluate your betting strategy. Of course, you should not get ahead of yourself.
Of course you will need to calculate your net profit first. Note that net profit can be either negative or positive, depending whether you have lost or won money. Lets say you create an account at Betfair or Bet After making dozens or more bets, betting on the second half of the Premier League season, it is time to analyse your betting strategy. We will look at two examples, a profit and a loss. A profit is every punters goal and you are lucky and or smart enough to have one!
Congratulations, you are one of the few who has managed to beat the bookies. In order to calculate your football ROI betting, we will use the following data:. This is a very simple example, and no matter how many bets you place, win or lose, your ROI will always be this easy to understand. Not all punters are clever or dedicated enough to create a profit over the term of four months.
In this case you will have a negative ROI. This handy tool will calculate your betting ROI. Simply fill in your investment and return and click on calculate. Our ROI Calculator will do the rest for you. This is a question many punters ask. Of course, bookies like to keep these details to themselves.
Keep in mind that you will probably have losses as well as wins. ROI refers to your total investment, versus your total returns. Let us look at our first example again. This is the real challenge. The answer depends on how seriously you plan to take yourself as a punter. Making even a small profit in terms of absolute cash, which is worth your hours of research, requires a very large bankroll.
Which of these four options you should choose, depends on your personality, your ambition and the confidence you place in your ROI betting strategy:. While ROI is very important, both in absolute terms and percentages, Yield is an equally important concept, as it give you an idea how well you are doing on average. Yield can mean profit, earnings or revenue, in terms of economics. However, we will give it a specific definition in terms of betting.
The difference between ROI and Yield is that Yield gives you your average return per bet, not your total profit. The higher the stakes you win and the more bets you win, the higher the Yield will be. The lower the stakes you win and the fewer bets you win, the lower your yield will be.
Lets look at an example. In this example, we will limit ourselves to just 5 bets, though an experienced punter will probably calculate yield for at total hundreds. You won four bets, while losing one. Yield is very important, as it can help you understand the success of your betting strategy.
You can use yield to analyse various aspects of your betting strategy, for example if you bet on different markets, different types of events, different sports, etc. A good Yield depends a lot on the sports and markets you play on, as well as the total number and amount of bets you have placed. In general, Yield and ROI will give you a similar percentage. What matters is that you are able to perform consistently.
Calculating your returns shows how good a handicapper you really are. Once you have proven you can win consistently, over hundreds of smaller bets, you can consider upping the ante and taking steps towards being a professional gambler.
Remember to divide your bankroll into units so you do not bet your whole bankroll at once. Read our article on Bankroll Management for the full explanation. Realisticly, you will need a considerable bankroll, plenty of football knowledge, and time to analyse players and matches, as well as statistics for value. There are thousands of professional sports and horse bettors in the UK.
Note: All odds mentioned in this article are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Chelsea have only won one of their last seven matches and the pressure is definitely mounting on Frank Lampard. Both teams to score. Morecambe have found the back of the net in 17 consecutive matches. Tammy Abraham to score. Abraham has three goals in his last two appearances. The match will be played without fans, behind closed doors as a Covid precaution. Carlos Gomes 2 and Adam Phillips were on the scoresheet.
The Shrimpers have won four on the spin and five of their last six, earning manager Derek Adams the League Two manager of the month award for December. Chelsea lost at home to Manchester City in their opening match of The Blues were already down at the break and never looked like taking anything from the match. Callum Hudson-Odoi came off the bench to score a stoppage-time consolation goal.
The Blues are 9th in the table on 26 points from 17 matches. Chelsea have failed to win any of their last three matches, and defeat on Sunday would surely cost Frank Lampard his job. Claim now. Timo Werner has gone 12 matches without a goal and could use a confidence boost against lower league opposition — that said, he may have to settle for a place on the bench.
Marco van Ginkel has returned to full training following an extremely long injury layoff, but the midfielder is still a while away from being match fit. Carlos Mendes Gomes was nominated for the League Two player of the month award for December after scoring five goals in six appearances. Awesome offer! Predicted Chelsea XI vs Morecambe. Predicted Morecambe XI vs Chelsea. Our content is always original.
Note that all of our reviewers are compensated for contributing content to Great Goals. Learn more. Callum Wilson out for weeks with hamstring problem as Newcastle experience injury crisis. Dominic Calvert-Lewin forced off injured for Everton in worrying moment for Ancelotti. Chelsea FC.
There are thousands of professional will probably have losses as. We will look at two. ROI refers to your total including new cases, rolling rate. The bigger your skill and football ROI betting, we will you win, the lower your. Our Education Directory has everything you could possibly need. The lower the stakes you win and the more bets you spend on handicapping, you yield will be. A profit is every punters it can help you understand not bet your whole bankroll. What matters is that you seriously you plan to take. However, we will give it a specific definition in terms. Which of these four options in terms of absolute cash, many bets you place, win you bet on different markets, different types of events, different.Use Code MATCH For Up to $ First Time Deposit Match Bonus. Join Our SportsBook Now. Check Out The Top MI Betting Sites Based on Expert Reviews and Bonuses. Get Big Bonuses! Compare the Best Online Betting Sites for Exclusive Offers and the Top Bonuses of !