We are seeing what amounts to a marketing gimmick way too often. Inexplicably, these stories get lots of attention. More notable than the Rams outright loss three days later as a nearly touchdown favorite was my justified cynicism the sportsbook manager probably just wanted to keep his rich customer on the hook and stroke his ego.
Another of my associates again nameless, unless he wants to step forward was beating the holy hell out of Canadian College Football. Now, if he even opens his account and blinks at a game, the line jumps a couple of points.
Not some millionaire trust-fund baby bullshitter. And neither should you. Or, how does he usually do every year? Some percentage of those wagers will fall into line with the predicted analytics. For every bad beat on a prop, a lucky break results in the cashing of another. Best of all, this was without even breaking a sweat. Good memory. Yes, when I first moved to LV Stardust was the sportsbook where lines originated. But IP was known for props. So, he probably took those talents and marketing savvy to the bigger place.
They dealt shit numbers to tourists. I could tell stories. He and his crew do an amazing job with the Super Bowl props. Your email address will not be published. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Notify me of new posts by email. That tells you everything. Another schnook. Next customer! Step right up! Like I said — a schnook. Share this: Email Facebook Twitter.
Nolan Replies: Good memory. Carolina is on this prop in their 18 games this season. Denver is much worse percentage wise in scoring a TD first, only 6 times in their 18 games 33 percent. Hoping they will either stop Carolina in the first series or pull a surprise and go aggressive early, by being able to move the ball successfully. Combine this with Denver rarely giving up long touchdown passes in the opening drive, and we have enough justification for a wager.
Here, we are getting even money on a prop that should probably be somewhere around Nortman is ranked 28th in the NFL in distance and has a poor track record of nailing kicks inside the 20 one could argue this lack of ability to pinpoint kicks helps the OVER on this prop. Case Keefer pointed out Nortman has produced at least one punt of less than Carolina stunted and blitzed early and often, and Cards QB Carson Palmer spent the first quarter laying on his back much of the time.
With yet another older immobile quarterback on deck who is similar in style, look for Carolina to practice the same game plan early in this game. Newton, by contrast, is far more difficult to bring down for defenses and has genuine breakaway ability. But this time around, the payback has inflated to some extra value combined with two additional factors that leads me to lay a small amount on the prop that three players will throw a pass.
Obviously, two players are certain to throw passes, so we need either a trick play a RB or WR throws a pass or an injury to either Manning or Newton where the backup comes in and passes at least once. These all appear to be reasonable numbers for Newton to achieve and surpass. The total opened up at Most years, Super Bowl bettors drive up the number. However, Super Bowls tend to be higher-scoring in recent years based on several factors.
Second, Carolina has clearly been well-prepared coming into both previous playoff games, running up huge first-half leads. These lopsided offensive performances were against Seattle and Arizona, two teams with pretty solid defenses. So, one could argue Carolina has proven its ability to embarrass good defensive units, which would include a team like Denver.
As for picking a side, it appears to me that Carolina is the public choice, but the smart money is taking Denver plus the points.
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Tom Brady, at age 43 , appearing in his 10th Super Bowl, his first with the Buccaneers, is countered by Patrick Mahomes, the reigning best quarterback in the NFL, going for his second-straight Super Bowl triumph for the Chiefs. As brightly as these stars figure to shine, they do not line up across from each other, but likely will have to match points with one another. The true test comes when one side knocks heads with the other.
Thus, with no further ado, we bring you the Super Bowl LV matchups:. He is hard to get to — he was sacked just 24 times this season, twice by the Bucs in Week He can throw it short, intermediate or long, and his first inclination is to go deep. Why not, considering what he has at his disposal? TE Travis Kelce is basically unstoppable. The Bucs have a young and talented secondary but will have to dominate up front with OLBs Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett going after a patchwork, injury-depleted offensive tackle group.
The Bucs are ball-hawks, with five interceptions in three playoff games. The Chiefs were No. A fast start to his rookie season devolved for Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who was banged up with ankle and hip injuries, but finally seems healthy. He can run it and catch it and continues in the Kansas City theme of killer speed. Darrel Williams yards, one TD in two postseason games is a capable backup. He is a load for a unit that allowed only No wonder Brady did not look in his rear-view mirror when leaving the Patriots and their shabby offensive personnel for the talent he is surrounded with in Tampa.
Mike Evans is an elite, physical receiver, and Chris Godwin, despite a few uncharacteristic drops this postseason, is a threat. The speed of Scotty Miller in the slot is a significant addition , and, oh by the way, Antonio Brown if he can shake off a knee issue is capable of a big play , especially if he is matched up on a No.
Rookie Tyler Johnson is another target for Brady. TE Cameron Brate is the more consistent option. Daniel Sorensen at one safety spot is a frequent blitzer. It all begins and ends here for the Chiefs with Tyrann Mathieu. The Honey Badger had a career-high six interceptions in the regular season, encouraged by defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to use his instincts all over the field.
After a solid regular season, Ronald Jones rushing yards, seven TDs has been overshadowed in the playoffs by Leonard Fournette yards, three TDs in three playoff games. Jones got knocked around and lost a fumble in the NFC title game, but he cannot be discounted. Fournette, not known for his hands, has 14 receptions for yards in the postseason, but also a few drops.
He is hard to bring down and seems to be running to prove something. Make no mistake, Brady at this stage of his career wants to run it and use the play-action game to ignite the air attack. Chiefs DE Tanoh Kpassagnon is primarily a run-stopper. The Chiefs have not allowed a yard rusher in the past six games. He is 8-for-8 in the postseason, with one missed extra point. Bradley Pinion put six of his nine punts during the playoffs inside the yard line.
Jaydon Mickens had a yard kickoff return against the Packers two weeks ago. Of course, they can still lose money on the prop if more money is wagered on one side than the other. With that built-in house edge, many sportsbooks lower the price for each side.
Circa Sports is having fun with the bet, dealing for heads but for tails. BetMGM is sticking with the traditional Some books also offer some alternative ways to bet the coin toss. Several have a prop on which team will win the toss. Contact Jim Barnes at jbarnes reviewjournal.
World No. Patrick Cantlay is now the favorite at Perhaps more improbable than Tom Brady leaving New England after 20 years and leading Tampa Bay to a Super Bowl title in his first season there was the manner in which the Buccaneers beat the Chiefs. Las Vegas books reported a win their 29th Super Bowl in the 31 years since the Nevada Gaming Control Board started tracking the game in Refresh constantly for minute-to-minute updates on all of the Super Bowl action — player props, live line movement, halftime bets and more.