The result of these trends is a significant uptick in average points per game scored by teams has in the last 15 years. By the end of the trial in , the average had increased to Both of those numbers are dwarfed by the NBA average of Even with the evolution of the sport and bookmakers becoming wise to the High Totals System, there is often still value to be had in backing the over on games with high totals lines. The Martingale System emphasizes the goal of reaping a long-term profit.
Losses are a real part of sports betting. A large betting bankroll, a firm understanding of statistical trends, and a boatload of patience are all required to successfully implement the Martingale System. Refer to the image below which outlines a game example for implementing the Martingale System. Of course, if Atlanta eclipses the point threshold, your ticket will cash. Where the Martingale System comes into effect is if the bet were to lose.
If they succeed in this second attempt, you will have covered the losses of your first wager and have made some additional profit. This pattern would continue until your luck changed and a bet was to cash. All of these factors play key roles in projecting the final score of an NBA game. This makes it particularly appealing to NBA bettors operating with smaller bankrolls who are more risk-averse.
If your bet loses, you would increase your wager amount. If the bet wins, you will keep your single unit wager the same. If a winning bet follows a loss, you decrease the size of your wager back to the previous amount. A proven NBA trend involves teams coming off of uncharacteristically poor offensive outings. Over time, these teams have shown an ability to bounce back in a big way on the scoreboard during their next home game.
To use the Bounce Back System, you will need to have a spot where a team is playing at home after a bad offensive performance in their last game. The best teams to use with this system are those with winning records that had a field goal percentage and point total that fell far below what is typical. With the expected rebound in offensive output from the home team, this yields an increased chance of the game total going over, depending on the offered number.
When an NBA team wins by 15 points or more, a common misperception might be that they have momentum on their side and should be able to win their next game by a double-digit margin as well. In actuality, the opposite is more often the case. This data would suggest that it is highly unlikely for a team to put together back-to-back blowout performances.
The source of the trend that gives the Blowout System its existence could be any number of things. Player fatigue, overconfidence, or an overreaction by the betting market to the previous game are all possibilities. Whatever the reason, look to fade double-digit favorites coming off a blowout win their last time out. The subject of back-to-back games has garnered attention around the NBA community in recent years, with the league working to cut down on the number of times teams are faced with this scenario on the schedule.
The general trend for teams playing on a back-to-back is that they struggle with fatigue in the second game. While this naturally leads to performance dips, it is interesting to note that different teams struggle at different rates when playing in this scenario. A study by numberFire examined the results of teams playing on a back-to-back that were either above or below the. Sticking with the rest theme, look to play against a team on their fourth game in five days.
Some teams get hit with this more often than others on their schedule and those are the teams that you should target, especially later in the season. The logic here is pretty simple. You have a team who just got beaten badly who is still considered good enough to be favored on the road.
Not only are these typically going to be good teams they are going to be motivated after getting blown out. Home dogs of over ten points in the NBA have traditionally been a very good bet.
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That average climbed to Bookmakers have become clued-in to this total points trend, however there is certainly value remaining to be found in taking the total points over in games with substantially high total-point predictions. But, the opposite is true more often than not. So you could also say that, teams that smash opponents are unlikely to do smash a team in their next contest. On the counter to the above Blowout System, teams coming off poor offensive games have a impressive record for bouncing back in their next home game.
When doing your NBA research, look for plus. The betting experts at TheSportsGeek. This can be best explained by the fact that defense takes more effort than offense, with players playing with less defensive intensity while tired. These insights are certainly something to consider when betting on NBA. Each of these factors can cause a significant drop off in performance from game to game. If the Lakers succeed, you win your wager and make a small profit.
If the Warriors score points plus, you will have covered your previous loss and made some extra cash. The keys to the Martingale System are a giant set of balls, patience, a hefty bankroll , and a knowledge of statistical trends. These factors will go a long way towards predicting the final score. But, it has a lot less financial risk due to its more conservative nature. The Tunnel Betting System takes advantage of the fact that competing bookmakers offer different total points lines, while offering the same odds.
For example, if one bookmaker has the total points line for the Bulls vs. Spurs at In both cases the Bulls are listed as -9 point favorites. When using the Tunnel System, you would bet the over If the final total score between the Bulls and Spurs is The Tunnel System also requires the bettor to do their fair share of study. If you do find one, jump on it!
Heavily-favored home teams that just enjoyed a big win only cover the spread That means that a road underdog facing a heavy home favorite coming off a massive win is a very solid bet ATS with a In the past, bookmakers have underestimated the scoring in cross-conference matchups. In the Non Conference Overs system, the bettor first looks for a matchup between cross-conference matchups.
Once a game in which an East team plays a West team is found, look for the totals points lines offered by the bookmaker. Interestingly, Allen Moody, a professional sports gambler that is noted above int the High Totals System , used this system over 5-years, where it won Find teams with plus. The point spread should move the odds closer to even money, meaning this has great value.
This can also provide an opportunity to parlay both bets. For example, should you lose your first 3 wagers but win the 4th, you will still be marginally down overall. Despite winning a bet, you proceed to the 5th staking value in the progression. If that bet wins, you start over. If it loses, you continue to the 6th progressive amount.
Because of this, if you lose the first 5 bets, start over without going forward to the 6th. One of the big frustrations you often hear from NBA coaches and players are about scheduled B2B back-to-back games. The majority of casual bettors treat all B2Bs equally, which is incorrect. The smart play is to spot the early-season B2Bs, before the long road trips and the harsh physicality of the NBA season take their toll. Indicating that anything below odds will have value, and since this bet is ATS, the odds should be closer to , which is great value.
Once again, the bettor is making a bet ATS, so the payout is close to even money. If the home team is a Make sure not to make this bet on the ML, because although they cover the spread at an impressive rate, these teams lose the game most of the time.
Another way to use this system and increase your odd of winning is to bet only the first half of games. The best way to remove that humiliating defeat from memory is to smash the next opponent. That extra motivation will likely be more impactful in the 1st half before they settle into playing their typical game.
The Zig-Zag system can be used for many sports. It is most often used when betting on playoff games in sports that play a best-of series rather than single elimination game. The system was created in the 18th century by John Henry Martingale, and according to it, basketball lovers are required to double the size of their stakes after a loss and to make a reset of the wagered amount after a win. NBA bettors should take into account the fact that they should apply the Martingale betting system at odds of something of the order of 2.
The reason why gambling enthusiasts decide to give it a shot is that thanks to it, they will stand a good chance to enjoy some eye-watering prizes. On the downside, you might not manage to reach the point at which you will get this profit simply because you might run out of money more rapidly than you have expected. The underlying principle of the system is that even one win will suffice to compensate for the losses you have experienced so far, but you should know that this might not always be the case.
The biggest dissimilarity between the two systems stems from the fact that this time, NBA lovers will have the chance to gradually get back their money, instead of recovering them at once. With this betting system, basketball lovers will need to lessen their stakes after they have scored a win, and to augment them after they have sustained a loss. One of the main reasons why this betting system is so alluring is that gamblers are not required to augment their stakes that immoderately, meaning that they will be less likely to end up with an exhausted bankroll.
It is worth noting that with this betting system, you will be required to decide on a bet amount and to stick to it each time when you make a stake. The Paroli betting system is undoubtedly one of the systems which are praised by many NBA bettors due to the fact that thanks to it, they can get more substantial profit.
Prior to employing this betting system, gambling aficionados should make sure that they have decided on their base stake. Of course, while making up their mind, basketball fans should ensure that they have taken into consideration the size of their bankroll.
The underlying principle of this betting system is that punters are required to double up the amount wagered after they have made a successful prediction. It is important to note that you will be compelled to stop augmenting your stake after you have enjoyed three wins in a row. As long as this occurs, you will need to start with wagering the base stake you have picked.
The same refers to losing stakes as once again, gamblers will need to drop back to the base stake unit they have initially chosen. The biggest benefit of the Paroli betting system is that it works in an extremely simple manner which makes it suitable for all types of gamblers , no matter whether they are old hands or newbies. Other than that, gambling aficionados should not necessarily possess a huge bankroll in order to make use of it, meaning that you will be able to give it a shot even if you are on a tight spot.
And last but not least, NBA bettors will stand a good chance to enjoy small wins consistently. Being a negative betting progression, the Fibonacci betting system requires you to increase your wager after you have sustained a loss. Luckily, utilizing this betting system is not overly complicated which makes it an appealing option for many NBA bettors.
With that betting system, gambling aficionados should keep on augmenting their stakes, even if they have made a losing wager. The reason why you should do this is to endeavor to get back the money you have lost on your last two unsuccessful bets.
So as to make sure that you will be capable of utilizing the Fibonacci betting system, first, you should memorize the sequence you need to stick to during your NBA betting session. It is important to note that the first number in the sequence is 0, and if you wish to get the next numbers, you simply need to add up the previous two numbers.
In other words, the Fibonacci sequence will look like this: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, and so on. What we should pay special attention to is the fact that each of the above-mentioned numbers represents the number of the units you should stake. In the event that you have managed to score a win, you should not forget to drop back two units. The biggest problem you might face when utilizing the Fibonacci betting system stems from the fact that if you are on a long losing streak, the amount of money you will be compelled to put on the line will keep on growing at quite a fast pace.
Thus, there are two probable scenarios as you can either lay out all your funds or reach the limits the bookie has imposed. It is safe to say that the Kelly Criterion is one of the most fancied sports betting systems due to the fact that it scrapes by providing the needed equilibrium between risk and reward. In other words, NBA bettors can capitalize on this betting system when they wish to make the most of their winning stakes, and at the same time, to reduce to a minimum the chances of misspending their entire bankroll.
In the event that these are precisely the goals you have set, the Kelly Criterion is worth investigating. At its core, the Kelly Criterion is a mathematical formula you can utilize so as to figure out how much money you should consider putting on the line per a single stake. Although at this stage, utilizing this NBA betting system might seem to you as easy as pie , the hardest thing about it remains that punters need to add the probability of their stake to become a winning one and a losing one to the equation.
It goes without saying that this might turn out to be extremely intimidating, especially if you are a total greenhorn at basketball betting. The reason why you should decide on the chances of your stake to become a winning one is that thus, you will be making larger stakes when you are more likely to win, and smaller stakes when making a successful prediction is less on the cards.
To put it in another way, thanks to the Kelly Criterion, the profit you will stand the chances of getting will exceed the losses you have experienced. It is safe to say that telling the exact probability of an event to come about might turn out to be quite daunting due to the fact that NBA lovers need to take into consideration a number of factors which might have an impact on the course of the matches. Therefore, it might be harder for you to decide on these values, especially if you are a novice.
Here, P reflects the chances of your stake to become a winning one, whereas Q will indicate the chances of your stake to turn out to be a losing one. B, on the other hand, will stand for the multiple of your stake you will stand the chance to sweep. So as to get this value, you simply need to subtract 1 from the value of the odds on the event which has taken your fancy.
It is important to note that as long as the value you have eventually got is positive, you should consider casting such a stake. In the event that the value is negative, however, you should refrain from making such a stake. Despite the fact that the views of old hands at NBA betting are across the spectrum, many of them consider that the Kelly Criterion is a great alternative when you are unsure how much money you should put on the line in the specific situation.
Other than that, this betting system will also allow you to manage your funds properly, especially if you tend to be rather hot-headed during your NBA betting session. Once you have gained better knowledge about NBA betting systems, you might be allured by the idea to build your own system.
Gambling aficionados should be aware of the fact that the data points they are allowed to implement into their betting system are quite diverse, meaning that in practice, they can incorporate almost all parameters. After you have made up your mind that you wish to gamble on NBA, it is advised to wager only on this competition so as to enhance your chances to enjoy good results.
If you do not stick to wagering only on basketball, you will start spreading yourself too thin. If you wish to make the first move in order to create a proper NBA betting system, you should pursue the factors which you think might be weighty. By this, we mean that basketball lovers should endeavor to create a list of all the factors which might influence the manner in which the game will pan out one way or another.
If you prefer, you might also estimate the significance of each of the factors using percentages. The next thing you should do is to include all the major factors you have decided on into a checklist.
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